Indian workers spend third of monthly salary on debt finance

Salaried workers across India spend more than 33% of their monthly income on paying loan EMIs, underlining the growing burden of credit-driven consumption, according to a new survey.

EMIs are equated monthly instalments, a fixed payment amount made by a borrower to a lender at a specified date each calendar month.

B2B SaaS fintech company Perfios has published a report titled ‘How India Spends: A Deep Dive into Consumer Spending Behaviour’, in conjunction with along with PwC India. Based on a comprehensive study of “tech-savvy consumers”, it found that 39% of consumers’ total spending goes toward obligatory expenditures, followed by 32% on necessities and 29% on discretionary spending.

The study encompasses a wide range of income groups across India, ranging from Rs 20,000 (£185) to Rs 100,000 (£925) per month.

It found that a significant 62% of discretionary spending is directed toward lifestyle products, including fashion and personal care items. There is a 6.4% increase in the average amount spent on lifestyle purchases by a person living in a large metropolitan area, which is Rs 2,022, compared to that spent by a person residing in a Tier-3 city, where this figure is Rs 1,882 monthly. Tier-3 cities are defined as cities with a population ranging between 20,000 to 49,999.

Some of the factors that influence the lifestyle-related shopping behaviour of people include consumer preference, brand consciousness, access to products and online shopping. The number of online shoppers is growing in India, the survey said.

“Of all the lifestyle purchases by consumers, 20% is allocated towards fashion. This subcategory includes transactions for purchasing apparel and accessories from designated merchants,” the survey said. “An interesting observation is that the frequency of consumer spending on fashion shopping remains relatively consistent at about twice a month across different salary buckets. However, the actual amount spent increases threefold from entry-level earners to high-income earners.”

It also found that as individuals’ salaries increase, so do both the amount and frequency of spending on food-related expenses, such as dining out or ordering food.

And the percentage of entry-level earners (those people earning less that Rs 20,000 per month) engaging in online gaming transactions stands at 22%, a figure that decreases to 12% as income rises to above Rs 75,000 per month.

The average rent expenditure in Tier-2 cities is 4.5% higher than in Tier-1 cities, and individuals in Tier-2 cities spend 20% more on medical expenses than their Tier-1 counterparts. On average, a person in a Tier-1 city spends Rs 2,450 per month on medical expenses, while those in metropolitan areas spend the least, averaging Rs 2,048. Indian cities with a population of 50,000 to 99,999 are termed Tier-2 cities; Tier-1 cities are those with a population above 100,000 people.

The joint survey also found that the average total amount spent on house rent is 4.5% higher in Tier-2 cities than in Tier-1 cities.

 

RBI launches finance app

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has launched mobile app, called ‘RBIDATA’, which will provide access to more than 11,000 different series of economic data related to the Indian economy.

The app offers macroeconomic and financial statistics relating to the Indian economy in a user-friendly and visually engaging format, Reserve Bank of India (RBI) said in a statement.

Users will be able to view time series data in graphs/charts and download data for analysis. There will also be details such as data source, unit of measurement, frequency and recent updates.

Furthermore, the app’s ‘Banking Outlet’ section will help users find banking facilities within 20 kilometres of their location and they can also access data about South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) countries through the ‘SAARC Finance’ section. SAARC is a regional intergovernmental organisation and geopolitical union of states in South Asia.

According to the central bank’s statement, the app will offer access to over 11,000 different series of economic data to give a comprehensive view of the Indian economy.

“This app offers quick access to the Database on the Indian Economy (https://data.rbi.org.in) portal and aims to serve the researchers, students and the general public,” it said.

China aims to boost consumption by tackling rogue traders

Beijing plans to encourage domestic consumers to increase their spending by eliminating scams, price gouging and the sales of shoddy goods.

The Chinese government has published an action plan for boosting consumption that focuses on eliminating fraud and other issues that discourage consumers from spending, as it aims to shore up economic growth amid an intensifying trade war with the United States.

The 19-point plan, jointly issued by five government departments, aims to create “a healthier consumption environment” that will boost confidence and encourage consumers to spend more.

The authorities pledged to tackle issues ranging from unclear pricing and false advertising to low-quality products and inadequate consumer protection, with a goal of resolving the problems by 2027.

“Optimising the consumption environment is an important measure to boost consumer confidence and stimulate economic vitality, which is of great significance in promoting high-quality economic development,” the State Administration of Market Regulation said in a statement.

Key measures in the latest initiative include raising quality standards in industries such as automobiles, home appliances and food, while supporting the development of domestically made jewellery, leather goods and other consumer products.

The publishing of the 19-point plan coincides with the announcement from China’s legislators pledging to increasing household disposable income in an effort to boost consumption and shore up the country’s growth momentum.

At an executive meeting in February of the State Council — the country’s Cabinet — policymakers said stimulating consumption was to become the top priority amid efforts to sustain improvements in the domestic economy.

Consumption is poised to contribute 70%-80% to China’s economic growth this year, said Su Jian, director of the National Centre for Economic Research at Peking University, who added that achieving this level of consumption-driven growth will require the government to deploy a comprehensive policy toolkit — including consumer voucher programmes — to stimulate consumer demand.

“As incomes rise, demand for premium products and services is expected to grow,” said Yuan Haixia, executive dean of the Research Institute at CCXI. “By enhancing the quality and variety of products and services available, China can stimulate new consumer demand and unlock untapped market potential.”

China’s demographic trends, especially the aging population, are creating new consumption opportunities in healthcare, senior care, education and other service sectors, Yuan said.

The rapid development of cutting-edge technologies such as the metaverse and artificial intelligence is reshaping China’s consumption landscape, injecting fresh momentum into the economy, he added.

 

Tech sector benefits from tax breaks

China cut 2.63 trillion yuan ($361 billion) in taxes and fees targeted at technological innovation and high-end manufacturing last year, as the country strives for self-sufficiency in key technologies to maintain its competitive edge amid growing geopolitical and economic pressure.

Latest data from the State Taxation Administration, the country’s top tax authority, showed that tax breaks for companies’ research and development spending and technology transfers totalled 806.9 billion yuan in 2024.

Tax incentives for high-tech enterprises and emerging industries — including a 15% corporate income tax rate and exemptions on new energy vehicle purchases — added up to 466.2 billion yuan last year.

To tackle bottlenecks in core technologies and attract talent in key sectors, China offered an additional 132.8 billion yuan in value-added tax deductions.

Notably, another major boost came from advanced manufacturing, with value-added tax rebates and deductions amounting to 1.11 trillion yuan, underscoring the government’s focus on upgrading production lines and transitioning to high-tech, high-value manufacturing.

Li Xuhong, deputy head of the Beijing National Accounting Institute, said: “Such measures will help taxpayers fully save on operating costs through R&D expense deductions. Relief will further stimulate their vitality and drive innovation capability, all of which will be strong drivers of the development of the country’s private sector.”

VAT invoice data released by the government showed that last year, sales revenue in high-tech industries grew 9.6 percentage points faster than the national average. Revenue from technology commercialization services jumped 27.1 percent year-on-year.

The digital economy also saw steady gains, with core industries expanding 7.1% year-on-year and enterprise procurement of digital technologies rising 7.4%, reflecting deepening integration of digital tools in industrial production.

India ‘to stay world’s fastest-growing economy, despite headwinds’

The Indian economy is seeing ‘a speedy rebound’ on account of strong economic foundation, and that the country will continue to remain the fastest growing economy in the world, India’s Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman has said.

Speaking in the general discussion on the recent Union Budget, Sitharaman said the Budget has come at a time of “immense uncertainties and the changed global macro environment makes it challenging”.

She said: “There are issues which are of global concern which also have an impact on our own budget making. There is a continuation of global conflict in the Middle East, Russia-Ukraine war continues, stagnation in global GDP and sticky inflation in the emerging markets are all vitiating the atmosphere in entire developing economies.

“In three years prior to 2024-25, the GDP growth rate averaged about 8%. Only in two of the last 12 quarters has growth rate touched 5.4% or remains below it… on account of strong economic foundation, a speedy rebound is happening and we will take measures to keep our economy growing fastest as in the last few years,” she said.

When questioned about unemployment, Sitharaman cited data from the annual report of Periodic Labour Force Survey 2023-24 that said the Labour Force Participation Rate has increased from 49.8% in 2017-18 to 60% in 2023-24 and the unemployment rate has declined from 6% in 2017-18 to 3.2% in 2023-24.

She said private final consumption expenditure is expected to grow 7.3% in the current fiscal, driven by good rural demand. The private final consumption expenditure is estimated to be 61.8% of the nominal GDP, the highest since 2002-2003, she said.

Underlining that the Goods and Services Tax (GST) “has not been increased on even one item”, Sitharaman said that the GST Council was working to see where rate cuts were possible.

“The GST Council has gone into great detail looking item by item to see where rate reduction can happen and, equally, four rates or three rates or two rates or collapse into one rate is also being discussed,” she said.

The Finance Minister added: “At the point of GST’s introduction, on average, 15.8% tax could have been levied without additionally burdening the consumer. If that was the rate at which the GST rates were brought in, today, the rate has come down to 11.3%.”

 

New Income Tax Bill to come into force

The Union Cabinet, chaired by Prime Minister Narendra Modi, has approved the New Income Tax Bill announced in the recent Budget, which will replace the six decades old Income-tax Act, 1961.

The new bill seeks to make direct tax law simple to understand and not to impose any new tax burden. It will not have provisos and explanations or long sentences, the government said.

Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman had first announced a comprehensive review of the Income-tax Act, 1961 in July 2024 Budget.

India’s Central Board for Direct Taxes (CBDT) had set up an internal committee to oversee the review and make the Act concise, clear and easy to understand, which will reduce disputes, litigations, and provide greater tax certainty to taxpayers. Also, 22 specialised sub-committees have been established to review the various aspects of the Income Tax Act.

Public inputs and suggestions were invited in four categories – simplification of language, litigation reduction, compliance reduction, and redundant/obsolete provisions.

The income tax department has received 6,500 suggestions from stakeholders on review of the Income Tax Act.

After it is tabled in Parliament, the new bill will be referred to a Parliamentary standing committee on finance for further consultation.

The new law is expected to be around half the size of the current law, with 25%-30% fewer provisions.

New measures aim to boost foreign investment in China

The Chinese government has unveiled a plan to stabilise foreign investment this year, which analysts say signals the country’s determination to achieve high-level opening-up in the face of rising global protectionism.

The plan, adopted at the State Council executive meeting chaired by Premier Li Qiang, outlined more practical and effective measures to both retain existing and attract new foreign investment because of the vital role that foreign-invested businesses play in terms of job creation, export stability and industrial upgrading.

In a statement, the government said China will fully implement its commitment to remove all market access restrictions for foreign investors in the manufacturing sector and expand the list of sectors encouraging foreign investment.

According to the plan, the country will encourage foreign enterprises to reinvest their capital within the Chinese market and participate more actively in equity investments. Meanwhile, steps will be taken toward optimizing the rules and regulations governing foreign mergers and acquisitions, as outlined in the plan.

Foreign enterprises will be treated on an equal footing with their Chinese counterparts in government procurement, according to the plan, which also put an emphasis on widening the financing options available to foreign-invested enterprises and strengthening intellectual property protection for them.

China will further open up its services sector, with a particular focus on accelerating pilot programs in key areas such as telecommunications, healthcare and education, said Li Yongjie, deputy international trade representative of the Ministry of Commerce.

The country is committed to aligning itself with high-standard international trade and economic rules while building a network of high-level opening-up platforms such as free trade zones as it aims to enhance its overall business environment, Li said.

A total of 59,080 new foreign-invested firms were established across China in 2024, an increase of 9.9% year-on-year, according to data from the ministry.

“These proactive opening-up policies stand in stark contrast with the intensifying investment restrictions tipped by certain economies, and have created a more welcoming and accessible environment for foreign enterprises — particularly small and medium-sized ones — looking to enter the Chinese market,” said Zhou Mi, a senior researcher at the Chinese Academy of International Trade and Economic Cooperation.

While the global economy grapples with sluggish demand, the sheer size of China’s consumer base, the nation’s rising middle class and growing purchasing power have presented a crucial lifeline for foreign enterprises navigating broader economic uncertainties, Zhou added.

 

Chinese economy expected to rebound 2025

The Chinese economy is expected to rebound in 2025 despite new variables, according to Guan Tao, global chief economist at BOCI China.

He said the unprecedented popularity of domestic travel and the emergence of DeepSeek AI model have boosted confidence in the Chinese economy, as well as creating positive expectations for the future.

Guan said the country plans to further boost consumption among urban residents. Data show that the median nominal per capita disposable income of urban residents grew 4.65% on average between 2020 to 2024.

Furthermore, China needs to promote a new type of urbanization and comprehensive rural revitalization in a co-ordinated manner, promote the integrated development of urban and rural areas, and further stimulate rural consumption potential, he said.

The economist said China’s economic policy focuses have shifted to benefiting people’s livelihood and promoting consumption.

Recently, the government has pre-delivered 81 billion yuan ($11.09 billion) of funds for consumer goods trade-in in 2025 to support local governments in the continuous implementation of the policy.

Moreover, China launched an action plan to promote large-scale equipment renewal and trade-in of consumer goods in March 2024 as part of efforts to boost domestic demand and support economic growth, Guan added.

New initiative aims to support UAE’s female entrepreneurs

A new initiative designed to help aspiring and established female entrepreneurs to connect, learn and grow has been launched in the UAE.

Launched in February, DXB Female Founders (DFF) will run monthly events dedicated to empowering women entrepreneurs in the UAE. The events will feature interactive workshops, expert-led sessions and inspiring stories designed to equip women with the essential skills and knowledge to succeed in business.

The inaugural event on 12 February highlighted ‘Founder Stories’, featuring Saba Yussouf, General Partner of Nettle Ventures. A successful entrepreneur, she sold her first company at 24 for £2 million and now leads a $60 million biotech firm.

She shared key insights on investor readiness, what investors look for and how founders can better prepare for funding.

Another speaker featured at the event also featured Marisa Peer, a best-selling author. Her talk focused on overcoming limiting beliefs, building self-confidence, and achieving entrepreneurial success.

The events series is sponsored by Google Cloud. Faranak Farahmand Pour, Director of Global Strategic Initiatives at Google Cloud, said: “Through our support of the DXB Female Founders event series, we aim to help unlock the immense potential of female talent in this region and contribute to the UAE’s ambitious goals for economic growth and technological advancement.”

Nicki Bedford, Founder & CEO of DXB Female Founders, added: “DXB Female Founders is dedicated to providing women entrepreneurs with the tools, knowledge, and network they need to succeed – while being surrounded by a supportive community of women who genuinely want to see each other succeed.

“Our monthly series offers practical workshops, mentorship opportunities, and a supportive community to help women overcome challenges, scale their businesses, and achieve their full potential.”

Bedford said that by equipping women with essential skills, fostering valuable connections, and providing access to experienced mentors through the DFF network, initiative aims to fuel the growth of the UAE’s entrepreneurial ecosystem.

The series directly aligns with the nation’s ambitions for technological leadership, economic diversification, and fostering a culture of innovation, she said.

Bedford added: “We are incredibly grateful for Google Cloud’s sponsorship and their commitment to empowering women in tech. Their support will enable us to reach more women and provide them with unparalleled access to resources and expertise.

“The DXB Female Founders series is more than just an event; it’s a strategic incubator for ideas, collaboration and leadership development, designed specifically for the UAE’s burgeoning entrepreneurial community.”

 

UAE launches cybersecurity strategy

The UAE’s National Cybersecurity Strategy was officially unveiled at the World Government Summit (WGS) 2025 in Dubai earlier in February.

Launching the initiative, Mohamed Al Kuwaiti, Head of the Cyber Security Council (CSC), said the strategy was part of the UAE’s efforts to keep pace with major and rapid transformations across various sectors, particularly in advanced technology, further cementing the country’s position in artificial intelligence and the digital economy.

Al Kuwaiti said that the recently approved five-year National Cybersecurity Strategy, endorsed by the UAE Cabinet, is built around five key pillars.

These pillars are designed to enable the safe and rapid adoption of innovations while ensuring a secure, resilient, and robust digital environment.

He further highlighted that the strategy includes specific goals and initiatives aimed at strengthening and growing the national economy, in addition to protecting critical infrastructure.

He noted that global losses from cyberattacks, cyber warfare, and cyberterrorism were estimated at around $10tn in 2024, underscoring the UAE’s early recognition of the need to enhance its cybersecurity framework in line with global best practices.

To this end, the UAE has invested over $2bn in cybersecurity and digital transformation.

Al Kuwaiti also revealed that the Cybersecurity Council is currently finalising several policies, including a cryptography policy, which will be implemented in the first quarter of 2025.

Additionally, the council is working on new cybersecurity standards to enhance institutional compliance and security measures.

Almost 90% of Malaysian firms experience cyber crime

Protecting their IT networks was the key concern for Malaysian businesses in 2024 when it came to cybercrime, according to the latest Kaspersky IT Security Economics report.

Some 88% of businesses experienced attempts to infiltrate their network, while over 60% of companies reported incidents where bad actors executed malicious code within their network or attempted to communicate with compromised systems and take control.

Large enterprises experienced the highest rate of network security incidents, despite having the most comprehensive protection measures in place. Small and medium-sized companies also faced challenges with network security, with a significant percentage of incidents attributed to the deliberate or inadvertent actions of their own employees.

The Kaspersky IT Security Economics report said that network security threats aim to exploit system vulnerabilities by penetrating company networks and stealing or inflicting damage to sensitive data, applications and workloads.

The report said: “When a cybercriminal detects a weak spot in the system, they use it to gain unauthorized access and install malware, spyware, or other harmful software. These weak spots are also a gateway for social engineering attacks, where individuals become an easier target.

“As more and more data is created, stored and transmitted electronically, the potential for cyber attacks to compromise sensitive information is also increasing. One of the key factors contributing to the ongoing prevalence of network security issues is the growing complexity of cyber threats. “Cybercriminals are constantly developing new tactics and techniques to bypass traditional security measures, making it challenging for businesses to stay ahead of the curve. From phishing scams and ransomware attacks to DDoS attacks and APTs, there are numerous ways in which cyber criminals can exploit vulnerabilities in a company’s network.”

It added: “Furthermore, the rise of remote work and BYOD (bring your own device) policies has created additional challenges for network security. With employees accessing company data from various locations and devices, the potential for security breaches is heightened. This, combined with the lack of proper security protocols and employee training, creates a vulnerable environment for cyber attacks to occur.”

The Kaspersky IT Security Economics report also said that human error is another key factor contributing to security incidents. It said 42% of companies reported incidents where their own employees consciously or unconsciously helped adversaries by their action or inaction, with the majority of these occurrences in medium and small businesses.

It commented: “Mistakes or negligence by employees, whether due to a lack of security awareness or insufficient training, are leading causes of cyber breaches and data leaks in organisations.

“Phishing attacks, where employees unwittingly click on malicious links or provide sensitive information to scammers, are a common threat. Insider threats, where employees intentionally or unintentionally leak confidential data, can also pose a significant risk to a company’s security.

“The consequences of employee negligence in cyber security can be severe as data breaches often result in financial loss, damage to a company’s reputation, and legal repercussions. In extreme cases, companies may face fines and legal action for failing to adequately protect sensitive information.”

SMBs are often more vulnerable to data breaches caused by their own employees than large corporations which have more resources to invest in robust cyber security measures and employee training. Small and medium-sized companies may lack the necessary infrastructure and awareness to adequately protect their sensitive information, making them an easy target for cyber criminals looking to exploit weak links in the security chain.

The report concluded that to mitigate the risk of cyber attacks caused by human error, companies must take steps to raise awareness among employees about cyber threats and invest in comprehensive cyber security training programmes.

It said: “Regular security audits and monitoring can help identify vulnerabilities and address them before they are exploited by cyber criminals. While specialized solutions such as those provided as part of the Kaspersky Next product line can protect a company’s assets with real-time protection, threat visibility, investigation and response capabilities of EDR and XDR for organisations of any size and industry.

“Ultimately, a combination of technological solutions and proactive employee education is essential in safeguarding a company’s data and reputation in the digital landscape.”

Budget 2025 tax cuts ‘will boost demand and consumption’

The Union Budget 2026 will boost growth over the next few years by increasing domestic demand through tax cuts for households, according to leading credit rating agencies.

India’s Finance Minister, Nirmala Sitharaman, presented the Union Budget for 2025-26 on February 1 in Parliament.

The Budget introduced significant reforms, including the removal of income tax liability for individuals earning up to R 1.2 million annually (£11,000), excluding special income. Additionally, the budget outlines reforms aimed at supporting start-ups and MSMEs, alongside a focus on key sectors for manufacturing growth.

S&P Global Ratings said it expects India will hit its deficit targets despite revenue loss from lifting the threshold for minimum taxable income and slower economic growth.

And, in its report on the Budget, Moody’s Ratings said the foregone revenue due to tax cuts would slow the pace of the country’s fiscal consolidation, even as total spending declines as a share of gross domestic product (GDP). It noted that tax measures will bolster middle-class spending power and consumption.

Meanwhile, Fitch Ratings said the Budget would be broadly neutral for growth and continued to project real GDP expansion of 6.4% in FY25 and 6.5% in FY26. Tax cuts, Fitch Ratings said, may provide a modest consumption boost.

S&P said the slower growth in capital investments for FY26 does not suggest a deterioration in the quality of government spending. “India’s Union Budget remains in line with our expectation of gradual fiscal consolidation… We believe bottlenecks in executing infrastructure projects will ease as supply chain pressures lessen and general elections are over,” S&P said in a press statement.

The agency said the Budget allocation for capital expenditure is 3.1% of GDP, unchanged from last financial year, an increase of 10% year-on-year in absolute terms.

S&P has projected that, combined with central government deficits that may trend down to 4.2% of GDP by FY28, the general government fiscal deficit could gradually decrease to 6.8% of GDP from 7.8% in FY25.

Highlighting that the Budget promotes private and state investments in infrastructure and energy transition, Moody’s Ratings said the boost to spending due to rising disposable income would benefit makers of two-wheelers, passenger vehicles and white goods, and ride-hailing service providers.

“The latest Budget signals a slowing pace of fiscal consolidation, as the government seeks to provide firmer support for economic growth amid a dampened macroeconomic backdrop compared with recent years. Still, we expect the government is within reach of its near-term deficit target of 4.5% by FY26,” Moody’s Ratings said.

Focus on smaller businesses

When presenting the Budget, Finance Minister Sitharaman said MSMEs contribute nearly 45% to India’s exports, making them a vital component of economic growth.

She also unveiled a new scheme targeting 500,000 first-time entrepreneurs from Scheduled Castes, Scheduled Tribes, and women that will provide term loans of up to R 20 million over the next five years. Additionally, the National Manufacturing Mission will drive the ‘Make in India’ initiative by integrating small, medium, and large industries into the global value chain, with a special focus on making India a global hub for toy manufacturing. The mission also has a mandate to focus on clean tech manufacturing for climate-friendly development and facilitating a future-ready workforce for in-demand jobs.

Investment was also a central theme in the Budget, categorized into three key areas—people, economy, and innovation. Regarding investment in people, the finance minister announced:

  • Broadband connectivity for all government secondary schools and primary health centres in rural areas.
  • Five National Centres of Excellence for Skilling with global expertise to equip young people careers in ther manufacturing and technology sectors.
  • The setting up of a R 5 billion Centre of Excellence in Artificial Intelligence for educational purposes.
  • A structured initiative to provide gig workers with identity cards and healthcare coverage.

On investment in the economy she announced:

  • R 1.5 trillion interest-free loans to states for capital expenditure.
  • The second Asset Monetization Plan (2025-30), to reinvest R 10 trillion into new projects.
  • An Urban Challenge Fund of R 1 trillion for urban redevelopment and water sanitation projects.

For investment in innovation it was announced that:

  • R 200 billion will allocated to private sector-driven R&D initiatives.
  • A National Geospatial Mission will support urban planning.
  • The Gyan Bharatam Mission will survey, document and conserve over 10 million manuscripts, alongside a National Digital Repository of Indian knowledge systems.

China looking to strengthen economic ties with EU

Strengthening China-European Union economic co-operation has become crucial for worldwide economic growth, as the United States’ tariff hikes against key trading partners have cast a shadow over the global economy, senior Chinese trade experts have said.

They emphasized that amid growing global trade protectionism, the Chinese and EU’s free trade ethos provide a solid basis for deeper bilateral economic and trade collaboration.

Zhang Yansheng, a researcher at the Chinese Academy of Macroeconomic Research, said the EU economy has advantages in high-end manufacturing, green technology and services trade, while China excels in digital infrastructure and smart manufacturing, and has a vast domestic market.

By creating platforms such as industrial co-operation parks and joint innovation funds, the two sides can create concrete projects, creating a roadmap for them to build a new economic and trade partnership, Zhang said.

“With the transformation and upgrading of China’s manufacturing industry, the competition between China and the EU in economic and trade development has intensified,” Zhang said.

“However, as they both face external challenges like rising protectionism and geopolitical uncertainties, the two economies are expected to forge closer economic ties based on complementary competition, thereby achieving a win-win situation,” Zhang added.

Zhou Mi, a senior researcher at the Chinese Academy of International Trade and Economic Cooperation, said the potential for collaboration between China and the EU is enhanced by their complementary markets and shared need for resource optimization.

He said he expects more co-operation between the two sides to boost collaboration by enterprises, drive innovation and improve the allocation of market resources.

“By doing such things, China and the EU could generate significant economic and social benefits, boost employment and enhance supply chain security for both,” said Zhou, whose academy is affiliated with China’s Ministry of Commerce (MOC).

China remains the EU’s largest import source and third-largest export destination, according to European statistics. Moreover, China’s outbound direct investment inflows to the EU grew from €6.27 billion ($6.43 billion) in 2020 to €8.06 billion euros in 2023.

Zhang, from the Chinese Academy of Macroeconomic Research, said that co-operation potential between China and the EU spans three key areas: green transformation, digital development and third-party market growth.

The two economies could build a joint carbon-neutral laboratory focusing on clean technology collaboration, recognize each other’s cross-border e-commerce standards, and build dialogue mechanisms for co-operation in frontier areas like data flow and artificial intelligence ethics, he said.

According to Zhou, from the Chinese Academy of International Trade and Economic Cooperation, China and the EU should focus in the short term on reviewing and strengthening existing supply chain co-operation by reducing trade barriers and increasing investment opportunities and the mobility of personnel.

Long-term strategies should aim for more effective market integration through reduced tariffs, increased consultation mechanisms and enhanced collaboration on innovation, he added.

China sees growth in trade in services in 2024

China’s annual trade in services exceeded one trillion US dollars for the first time last year, demonstrating significant potential for further growth, according to the latest data from the Ministry of Commerce (MOC).

And the country’s services import and export value amounted to a record-high of 7.5 trillion yuan (about $1.05 trillion) in 2024, expanding 14.4% year on year, the ministry said. Exports grew 18.2% year on year and imports grew 11.8%, according to the MOC.

Driven by the global trends of digitisation, smart technology advancement and green development, China’s trade in services grew in scale and its international competitiveness was enhanced in 2024, said Li Jun, a researcher at the Chinese Academy of International Trade and Economic Cooperation under the MOC.

He added that “the comprehensive relaxation and optimization of China’s visa-free transit policy has played a role in boosting inbound tourism over the last year”.

The Chinese government released a guideline on promoting the high-quality development of trade in services through high-standard opening-up in August last year.

The document offers robust policy support for the development of China’s services trade, Li said, calling for more efforts to advance opening-up, innovation and international cooperation in the sector.

Bilateral, multilateral and regional collaboration in digital trade and trade in services should be expanded, Li said, suggesting that the role of major exhibition platforms should continue to be leveraged, and that international services trade co-operation parks should be developed.

China looking to strengthen economic ties with EU

Strengthening China-European Union economic co-operation has become crucial for worldwide economic growth, as the United States’ tariff hikes against key trading partners have cast a shadow over the global economy, senior Chinese trade experts have said.

They emphasized that amid growing global trade protectionism, the Chinese and EU’s free trade ethos provide a solid basis for deeper bilateral economic and trade collaboration.

Zhang Yansheng, a researcher at the Chinese Academy of Macroeconomic Research, said the EU economy has advantages in high-end manufacturing, green technology and services trade, while China excels in digital infrastructure and smart manufacturing, and has a vast domestic market.

By creating platforms such as industrial co-operation parks and joint innovation funds, the two sides can create concrete projects, creating a roadmap for them to build a new economic and trade partnership, Zhang said.

“With the transformation and upgrading of China’s manufacturing industry, the competition between China and the EU in economic and trade development has intensified,” Zhang said.

“However, as they both face external challenges like rising protectionism and geopolitical uncertainties, the two economies are expected to forge closer economic ties based on complementary competition, thereby achieving a win-win situation,” Zhang added.

Zhou Mi, a senior researcher at the Chinese Academy of International Trade and Economic Cooperation, said the potential for collaboration between China and the EU is enhanced by their complementary markets and shared need for resource optimization.

He said he expects more co-operation between the two sides to boost collaboration by enterprises, drive innovation and improve the allocation of market resources.

“By doing such things, China and the EU could generate significant economic and social benefits, boost employment and enhance supply chain security for both,” said Zhou, whose academy is affiliated with China’s Ministry of Commerce (MOC).

China remains the EU’s largest import source and third-largest export destination, according to European statistics. Moreover, China’s outbound direct investment inflows to the EU grew from €6.27 billion ($6.43 billion) in 2020 to €8.06 billion euros in 2023.

Zhang, from the Chinese Academy of Macroeconomic Research, said that co-operation potential between China and the EU spans three key areas: green transformation, digital development and third-party market growth.

The two economies could build a joint carbon-neutral laboratory focusing on clean technology collaboration, recognize each other’s cross-border e-commerce standards, and build dialogue mechanisms for co-operation in frontier areas like data flow and artificial intelligence ethics, he said.

According to Zhou, from the Chinese Academy of International Trade and Economic Cooperation, China and the EU should focus in the short term on reviewing and strengthening existing supply chain co-operation by reducing trade barriers and increasing investment opportunities and the mobility of personnel.

Long-term strategies should aim for more effective market integration through reduced tariffs, increased consultation mechanisms and enhanced collaboration on innovation, he added.

China sees growth in trade in services in 2024

China’s annual trade in services exceeded one trillion US dollars for the first time last year, demonstrating significant potential for further growth, according to the latest data from the Ministry of Commerce (MOC).

And the country’s services import and export value amounted to a record-high of 7.5 trillion yuan (about $1.05 trillion) in 2024, expanding 14.4% year on year, the ministry said. Exports grew 18.2% year on year and imports grew 11.8%, according to the MOC.

Driven by the global trends of digitisation, smart technology advancement and green development, China’s trade in services grew in scale and its international competitiveness was enhanced in 2024, said Li Jun, a researcher at the Chinese Academy of International Trade and Economic Cooperation under the MOC.

He added that “the comprehensive relaxation and optimization of China’s visa-free transit policy has played a role in boosting inbound tourism over the last year”.

The Chinese government released a guideline on promoting the high-quality development of trade in services through high-standard opening-up in August last year.

The document offers robust policy support for the development of China’s services trade, Li said, calling for more efforts to advance opening-up, innovation and international cooperation in the sector.

Bilateral, multilateral and regional collaboration in digital trade and trade in services should be expanded, Li said, suggesting that the role of major exhibition platforms should continue to be leveraged, and that international services trade co-operation parks should be developed.

Budget 2025 tax cuts ‘will boost demand and consumption’

The Union Budget 2026 will boost growth over the next few years by increasing domestic demand through tax cuts for households, according to leading credit rating agencies.

India’s Finance Minister, Nirmala Sitharaman, presented the Union Budget for 2025-26 on February 1 in Parliament.

The Budget introduced significant reforms, including the removal of income tax liability for individuals earning up to R 1.2 million annually (£11,000), excluding special income. Additionally, the budget outlines reforms aimed at supporting start-ups and MSMEs, alongside a focus on key sectors for manufacturing growth.

S&P Global Ratings said it expects India will hit its deficit targets despite revenue loss from lifting the threshold for minimum taxable income and slower economic growth.

And, in its report on the Budget, Moody’s Ratings said the foregone revenue due to tax cuts would slow the pace of the country’s fiscal consolidation, even as total spending declines as a share of gross domestic product (GDP). It noted that tax measures will bolster middle-class spending power and consumption.

Meanwhile, Fitch Ratings said the Budget would be broadly neutral for growth and continued to project real GDP expansion of 6.4% in FY25 and 6.5% in FY26. Tax cuts, Fitch Ratings said, may provide a modest consumption boost.

S&P said the slower growth in capital investments for FY26 does not suggest a deterioration in the quality of government spending. “India’s Union Budget remains in line with our expectation of gradual fiscal consolidation… We believe bottlenecks in executing infrastructure projects will ease as supply chain pressures lessen and general elections are over,” S&P said in a press statement.

The agency said the Budget allocation for capital expenditure is 3.1% of GDP, unchanged from last financial year, an increase of 10% year-on-year in absolute terms.

S&P has projected that, combined with central government deficits that may trend down to 4.2% of GDP by FY28, the general government fiscal deficit could gradually decrease to 6.8% of GDP from 7.8% in FY25.

Highlighting that the Budget promotes private and state investments in infrastructure and energy transition, Moody’s Ratings said the boost to spending due to rising disposable income would benefit makers of two-wheelers, passenger vehicles and white goods, and ride-hailing service providers.

“The latest Budget signals a slowing pace of fiscal consolidation, as the government seeks to provide firmer support for economic growth amid a dampened macroeconomic backdrop compared with recent years. Still, we expect the government is within reach of its near-term deficit target of 4.5% by FY26,” Moody’s Ratings said.

Focus on smaller businesses

When presenting the Budget, Finance Minister Sitharaman said MSMEs contribute nearly 45% to India’s exports, making them a vital component of economic growth.

She also unveiled a new scheme targeting 500,000 first-time entrepreneurs from Scheduled Castes, Scheduled Tribes, and women that will provide term loans of up to R 20 million over the next five years. Additionally, the National Manufacturing Mission will drive the ‘Make in India’ initiative by integrating small, medium, and large industries into the global value chain, with a special focus on making India a global hub for toy manufacturing. The mission also has a mandate to focus on clean tech manufacturing for climate-friendly development and facilitating a future-ready workforce for in-demand jobs.

Investment was also a central theme in the Budget, categorized into three key areas—people, economy, and innovation. Regarding investment in people, the finance minister announced:

  • Broadband connectivity for all government secondary schools and primary health centres in rural areas.
  • Five National Centres of Excellence for Skilling with global expertise to equip young people careers in ther manufacturing and technology sectors.
  • The setting up of a R 5 billion Centre of Excellence in Artificial Intelligence for educational purposes.
  • A structured initiative to provide gig workers with identity cards and healthcare coverage.

On investment in the economy she announced:

  • R 1.5 trillion interest-free loans to states for capital expenditure.
  • The second Asset Monetization Plan (2025-30), to reinvest R 10 trillion into new projects.
  • An Urban Challenge Fund of R 1 trillion for urban redevelopment and water sanitation projects.

For investment in innovation it was announced that:

  • R 200 billion will allocated to private sector-driven R&D initiatives.
  • A National Geospatial Mission will support urban planning.
  • The Gyan Bharatam Mission will survey, document and conserve over 10 million manuscripts, alongside a National Digital Repository of Indian knowledge systems.